Climate Change Science Fundamentals
Climate Change Science Fundamentals
Climate change science examines long-term shifts in Earth’s weather patterns and the factors driving these changes. This field integrates atmospheric physics, oceanography, biogeochemistry, and human activity to explain how global systems interact over decades to millennia. As an online geosciences student, you need a solid grasp of these concepts to analyze environmental data, assess risks, and contribute meaningfully to mitigation strategies.
This resource clarifies the mechanisms behind climate change, starting with the greenhouse effect and carbon cycle dynamics. You’ll learn how human actions amplify natural processes, the role of feedback loops in accelerating warming, and methods for projecting future climate scenarios. The content connects theory to practice—interpreting ice core records, satellite data, or climate models requires knowing how energy balance, albedo, and ocean currents shape planetary responses.
Key sections break down Earth’s climate system components: atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, and lithosphere. You’ll explore how melting glaciers affect sea-level rise projections, why methane emissions from permafrost matter, and how urbanization alters regional climates. Practical examples show how to apply this knowledge in geoscience careers, whether advising on renewable energy sites, evaluating coastal erosion risks, or communicating climate trends to policymakers.
For online learners, this material bridges abstract concepts and real-world problem-solving. You’ll gain skills to interpret peer-reviewed research, use visualization tools for temperature anomalies, and critically evaluate climate claims in media. This foundation supports work in environmental consulting, resource management, or academic research—fields where accurate climate literacy directly informs decisions affecting ecosystems and human communities.
Foundations of Earth's Climate System
Earth’s climate system operates through interconnected components and natural cycles that distribute energy across the planet. You’ll find four primary components interacting to shape global climate patterns, along with long-term astronomical cycles that drive gradual shifts. This section breaks down these elements to clarify how they collectively influence the climate you experience.
Key Components: Atmosphere, Hydrosphere, Cryosphere, Biosphere
Atmosphere:
- The atmosphere is Earth’s gaseous envelope, composed mainly of nitrogen (78%) and oxygen (21%), with trace gases like carbon dioxide and methane. These trace gases drive the greenhouse effect, trapping heat to maintain Earth’s average surface temperature.
- Layered structure matters: the troposphere (closest to Earth) holds weather systems, while the stratosphere contains ozone that absorbs ultraviolet radiation.
- Atmospheric circulation redistributes heat via wind patterns like the jet stream and Hadley cells, creating regional climates.
Hydrosphere:
- This includes all liquid water: oceans (97% of Earth’s water), lakes, rivers, and groundwater. Oceans act as massive heat reservoirs, absorbing and releasing energy over decades.
- The thermohaline circulation moves water globally based on temperature (
thermo
) and salinity (haline
), transporting heat from equatorial to polar regions. - Evaporation, precipitation, and runoff form the water cycle, which regulates humidity and cloud cover, directly impacting surface temperatures.
Cryosphere:
- Ice sheets, glaciers, sea ice, and permafrost store freshwater and reflect solar radiation due to high albedo (surface reflectivity). Polar ice loss reduces albedo, accelerating regional warming.
- Seasonal meltwater from glaciers feeds rivers and influences ocean salinity, affecting currents like the Gulf Stream.
- Permafrost thaw releases trapped methane, a potent greenhouse gas, creating feedback loops.
Biosphere:
- Living organisms interact with all other components. Plants absorb carbon dioxide during photosynthesis, while decomposers release it through respiration.
- Forests and oceans serve as carbon sinks, temporarily storing carbon. Deforestation or ocean acidification weakens these sinks, altering atmospheric CO₂ levels.
- Surface vegetation affects albedo: dark forests absorb more heat than light-colored deserts or snow.
Natural Climate Cycles: Milankovitch Cycles, Solar Variations
Milankovitch Cycles:
These are long-term changes in Earth’s orbit and orientation, altering solar radiation distribution over thousands of years. Three factors dominate:
- Eccentricity: Earth’s orbit shifts from near-circular to elliptical (
eccentricity
) every 100,000 years, changing the distance from the Sun during aphelion (farthest) and perihelion (closest). - Axial Tilt: Earth’s tilt oscillates between 22.1° and 24.5° over 41,000 years. Greater tilt intensifies seasonal contrasts.
- Precession: Earth’s rotational wobble shifts the timing of seasons relative to orbital position every 26,000 years, affecting which hemisphere receives more sunlight during perihelion.
These cycles correlate with glacial-interglacial periods. For example, low summer sunlight at high latitudes allows ice sheets to expand.
Solar Variations:
- The Sun’s energy output fluctuates in 11-year cycles due to sunspots (dark, cooler regions) and faculae (bright, hotter regions). Increased sunspot activity slightly raises solar irradiance.
- Over centuries, grand solar minima (e.g., the Maunder Minimum, 1645–1715) coincide with cooler periods, while maxima align with warmth. However, solar forcing contributes less than 0.1°C to modern warming.
- Ultraviolet radiation variability affects ozone production in the stratosphere, altering wind patterns and surface climate.
Natural cycles set Earth’s climatic baseline, but their effects unfold over millennia. Current rapid changes exceed these natural rates, highlighting the role of human-driven factors.
Greenhouse Gases and Human Influence
Human activities have dramatically altered the composition of Earth’s atmosphere since the Industrial Revolution. This section examines how industrial processes, energy production, and land-use changes release greenhouse gases at scales that disrupt natural systems. You’ll explore the primary gases driving climate change, quantify modern emission rates, and analyze how human actions override the planet’s capacity to regulate carbon.
CO2, Methane, and Nitrous Oxide: Sources and Impact
Carbon dioxide (CO2) accounts for roughly 76% of human-caused global warming. The primary sources are:
- Burning fossil fuels (coal, oil, natural gas) for energy
- Deforestation and land-use changes that reduce carbon storage in forests and soils
Methane (CH4) causes 16% of anthropogenic warming despite shorter atmospheric longevity. It traps 28–36 times more heat per molecule than CO2 over 100 years. Major emission sources include:
- Livestock digestion (enteric fermentation)
- Leaks from oil/gas infrastructure
- Decomposition in landfills and rice paddies
Nitrous oxide (N2O) contributes 6% to human-driven warming but has 265–298 times the heat-trapping capacity of CO2 over a century. Over 70% comes from:
- Synthetic fertilizer use in agriculture
- Industrial chemical production
- Fossil fuel combustion
These gases persist in the atmosphere for decades to centuries, creating a cumulative warming effect. Methane and nitrous oxide also indirectly amplify ozone depletion and stratospheric water vapor concentrations.
Fossil Fuel Emissions: 36.8 Billion Metric Tons CO2 Released in 2023
Humanity released 36.8 billion metric tons of CO2 from fossil fuels in 2023 alone—equivalent to adding 1,167 tons per second. The breakdown by fuel type shows:
- Coal: 14.7 Gt CO2 (40% of total)
- Oil: 12.1 Gt CO2 (33%)
- Natural gas: 7.8 Gt CO2 (21%)
- Cement production and flaring: 2.2 Gt CO2 (6%)
This represents a 50% increase from 1990 emission levels. Coal remains dominant in electricity generation, while oil powers 92% of global transportation. Natural gas emissions have risen 42% since 2000 due to expanded fracking and liquefied natural gas exports. Regional disparities exist: the top five emitting countries (China, U.S., India, Russia, Japan) produce 58% of total fossil CO2, yet per capita emissions vary 15-fold between industrialized and developing nations.
Carbon Cycle Disruption: Pre-Industrial vs. Current Levels (280 ppm vs. 420 ppm)
Earth’s carbon cycle maintained atmospheric CO2 between 180–280 ppm for 800,000 years before industrialization. Human activities pushed concentrations to 420 ppm by 2023—a 50% increase in under 200 years. Three critical imbalances explain this shift:
- Emission velocity: Humans now emit CO2 100 times faster than all volcanic eruptions combined. The annual increase (2–3 ppm) is 200 times quicker than natural post-ice-age rises.
- Carbon sink saturation: Oceans and land absorb 55% of human emissions, but warming reduces their efficiency. Warmer seawater holds less CO2, while droughts and deforestation weaken terrestrial uptake.
- Legacy effect: 25% of emitted CO2 remains airborne for millennia. Even if emissions stopped today, existing CO2 would keep warming the planet for centuries.
Pre-industrial carbon cycles moved 750 Gt CO2 between air, land, and oceans annually. Humans now add 37 Gt CO2 yearly to this flux—a 5% perturbation that overwhelms natural regulatory mechanisms. This explains why atmospheric CO2 now rises 10,000 times faster than during the last deglaciation.
Observed Climate Change Evidence
Global environmental shifts are quantified through direct measurements across multiple systems. Three critical lines of evidence—temperature records, ice sheet loss, and extreme weather frequency—demonstrate unambiguous changes in Earth’s climate behavior over the past century.
Temperature Records: 1.1°C Global Increase Since 1880
Earth’s average surface temperature has risen by 1.1°C since pre-industrial times, with most warming occurring since 1975. This trend is verified by three independent datasets: surface thermometer records from over 20,000 stations, satellite-based atmospheric measurements since 1979, and ocean temperature sensors covering 90% of marine habitats.
- Warming rates vary regionally. The Arctic heats 2-3 times faster than the global average due to polar amplification.
- Nine of the ten warmest years on record occurred after 2010, with 2023 marking the hottest single year in multiple datasets.
- Ocean heat content reached record highs in 2023, absorbing 90% of excess heat trapped by greenhouse gases.
Temperature increases correlate directly with human activities. Pre-1850 climate reconstructions from ice cores and tree rings show no equivalent warming spikes in the past 2,000 years.
Ice Sheet Loss: Arctic Sea Ice Declining 13% Per Decade
Satellite observations since 1979 reveal Arctic sea ice extent shrinking by 13.1% per decade relative to the 1981-2010 average. Summer minimum ice cover has dropped by 40%, exposing darker ocean surfaces that absorb more solar radiation.
- Multi-year ice (surviving multiple summers) now constitutes less than 30% of Arctic ice volume, down from 60% in the 1980s.
- Greenland’s ice sheet lost 279 billion metric tons annually between 1993 and 2023, accelerating sea level rise.
- Antarctic ice shelves lost 7.5 trillion metric tons of mass from 1997 to 2021, destabilizing glaciers that flow into the Southern Ocean.
Ice loss metrics use satellite altimetry, gravity field measurements, and on-site glacier monitoring. These methods confirm polar regions are transitioning to new climate states.
Extreme Weather Frequency: 74% Increase in Heatwaves Since 1950
Global heatwave frequency rose by 74% between 1950 and 2023, with events lasting 25% longer on average. This trend aligns with atmospheric warming altering the statistical distribution of temperatures.
- Heavy rainfall events intensified by 30% in mid-latitude regions due to increased atmospheric moisture capacity.
- Tropical cyclone energy increased by 13% per decade since 1980, with a 35% rise in Category 4-5 hurricanes.
- Drought-affected land area expanded by 1.7% per year since 1950, driven by higher evaporation rates and shifting precipitation patterns.
Extreme event analysis uses climate models to separate natural variability from human-driven trends. The probability of record-breaking heatwaves now exceeds pre-industrial estimates by 150-fold.
All three indicators—temperature, ice loss, and weather extremes—show accelerating trends when compared to historical baselines. These measurements form the empirical foundation for understanding anthropogenic climate disruption.
Climate Modeling and Prediction Methods
To project future climate scenarios, scientists use tools that simulate Earth’s systems and human influences. These methods let you explore interactions between the atmosphere, oceans, land surfaces, and ice sheets under varying conditions. Below, you’ll learn how models work, the scenarios they test, and key projections for the coming decades.
Global Circulation Models: Structure and Function
Global Circulation Models (GCMs) simulate physical processes across Earth’s climate system using mathematical equations. They divide the planet into a 3D grid of cells, typically 100-300 km wide horizontally and 1 km thick vertically. Each cell calculates variables like temperature, humidity, wind speed, and ocean currents over time steps of minutes to hours.
Key components of GCMs include:
- Atmosphere models tracking air movement, cloud formation, and radiative balance
- Ocean models simulating currents, salinity, and heat absorption
- Land surface models accounting for vegetation, soil moisture, and ice cover
- Cryosphere models projecting sea ice and glacier behavior
GCMs rely on parameterization to approximate small-scale processes (like cloud physics) that can’t be directly resolved by the grid. Higher-resolution models reduce this approximation but require exponentially more computing power. Modern Earth System Models (ESMs) expand GCMs by adding biogeochemical cycles, such as carbon exchange between oceans and forests.
Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs): Scenario Analysis
Representative Concentration Pathways define possible greenhouse gas trajectories used to drive climate models. Four primary RCPs establish different radiative forcing levels by 2100:
- RCP 2.6: Peak emissions before 2050, then rapid decline (best-case mitigation)
- RCP 4.5: Stabilization post-2100 through moderate emission cuts
- RCP 6.0: Delayed emission reductions leading to higher mid-century warming
- RCP 8.5: Unchecked emissions with tripled CO₂ levels by 2100 (worst-case scenario)
You analyze these pathways to compare how emission choices affect climate outcomes. RCPs don’t predict the future—they test climate responses to fixed forcing levels. For example, RCP 8.5 shows 4-6°C global warming by 2100 if coal use expands and carbon sinks degrade.
Scenarios also incorporate socio-economic factors:
- Population growth rates
- Energy technology adoption
- Land-use changes like deforestation
This approach lets you separate climate uncertainty (how the system responds) from societal uncertainty (what emissions path we choose).
IPCC Projections: 1.5°C Threshold Risks by 2040
Current projections indicate a 66% chance of exceeding 1.5°C global warming above pre-industrial levels by 2040 if emissions follow today’s trajectory. Crossing this threshold increases risks across systems:
- Extreme heat: 14% of the global population faces severe heatwaves at least once every five years
- Precipitation shifts: Arid regions become drier; monsoon zones see heavier, erratic rainfall
- Sea-level rise: Coastal flooding frequency doubles, affecting 40 million people annually
- Ecosystem disruption: 6% of insects, 4% of vertebrates lose over half their habitat
The IPCC distinguishes between temporary overshoot (exceeding 1.5°C but later cooling) and sustained warming. Even temporary overshoot causes irreversible impacts, like permafrost thaw releasing stored methane.
Key differences between 1.5°C and 2°C outcomes:
| Variable | 1.5°C Scenario | 2.0°C Scenario |
|------------------------|----------------------|----------------------|
| Ocean acidity increase | 100% | 150% |
| Coral reef survival | 10-30% | Nearly 0% |
| Ice-free Arctic summers| Once per century | Once per decade |
Projections assume immediate emission cuts. Delaying action until 2030 requires steeper reductions (7.6% annual decrease) to stay below 1.5°C. Models show this is technically feasible but politically challenging, requiring rapid coal phase-outs and electric vehicle adoption at 20 times current rates.
Climate Mitigation Strategies
To reduce climate impacts effectively, you need actionable strategies that target emissions reduction, carbon removal, and systemic policy changes. This section breaks down three critical approaches: scaling solar energy, deploying carbon capture systems, and implementing international climate agreements.
Renewable Energy Transition: Solar Capacity Growth Trends
Solar photovoltaic (PV) technology drives the fastest-growing renewable energy sector. Global solar capacity has increased by an average of 20-25% annually since 2010, with installations surpassing 1 terawatt in 2022. You can attribute this growth to three factors:
- Cost reductions: Utility-scale solar now costs 80-90% less per megawatt-hour than in 2010 due to improved manufacturing and economies of scale.
- Technology improvements: High-efficiency panels using perovskite or bifacial designs now exceed 22% conversion efficiency, up from 15% for standard silicon panels a decade ago.
- Grid integration: Battery storage systems paired with solar farms now provide 4-12 hours of dispatchable power, addressing intermittency challenges.
Countries leading in solar adoption have implemented feed-in tariffs, tax incentives, and renewable portfolio standards. For example, China added 87 gigawatts of solar capacity in 2022 alone—equivalent to powering 13 million homes annually. However, land use conflicts and rare mineral dependencies for panel production remain unresolved challenges.
Carbon Capture Technologies: Current Storage Capacity 40 MtCO2/Year
Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) systems prevent CO₂ emissions from reaching the atmosphere. Approximately 40 million metric tons of CO₂ are captured annually across 35 operational facilities worldwide. The process involves three stages:
- Capture: Separating CO₂ from industrial exhaust streams using amine-based solvents or membrane filtration
- Transport: Moving compressed CO₂ via pipelines or ships to storage sites
- Storage: Injecting CO₂ into geological formations like depleted oil reservoirs or saline aquifers at depths exceeding 800 meters
Enhanced oil recovery (EOR) currently utilizes 60% of captured CO₂ to extract residual fossil fuels, creating a financial incentive for deployment. Dedicated storage projects, like Norway’s Sleipner field, have safely sequestered over 20 million tons of CO₂ since 1996. Scaling CCUS requires solving two problems: reducing energy penalties (15-25% of plant output) for capture systems and securing long-term liability frameworks for stored CO₂.
Direct air capture (DAC) technologies, which remove CO₂ directly from ambient air, show promise but remain energy-intensive. Current DAC facilities capture just 0.01 million tons annually, with costs exceeding $600 per ton.
Policy Frameworks: Paris Agreement Targets Analysis
The Paris Agreement sets a global target to limit warming to 1.5-2°C above pre-industrial levels. 194 countries have submitted nationally determined contributions (NDCs) outlining emission reduction plans. Key elements include:
- Peak emissions: Major economies like the EU and US aim for net-zero by 2050, while China targets 2060
- Sectoral targets: 73% of NDCs specify renewable energy goals, and 58% address transportation electrification
- Climate finance: Developed nations pledged $100 billion annually by 2020 to support mitigation in low-income countries
Current NDCs still fall short. If fully implemented, they would reduce 2030 emissions by only 7-10% compared to business-as-usual scenarios—far below the 45% reduction needed for 1.5°C. You’ll see the largest gaps in heavy industries (steel, cement) and methane emissions from agriculture.
Five-year ratchet mechanisms require countries to submit progressively stronger NDCs, but compliance relies on transparent reporting systems. Regional policies like the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) now impose tariffs on imports from countries with weaker climate regulations, creating economic pressure for alignment.
To accelerate progress, 136 countries have legislated or proposed net-zero targets. However, only 12% of these targets are enshrined in binding laws, and 90% lack detailed roadmaps for high-emission sectors like aviation and shipping.
Geospatial Tools for Climate Analysis
Geospatial tools provide critical methods to observe, measure, and model climate change impacts. These systems process spatial data to reveal patterns in temperature, ice loss, vegetation shifts, and atmospheric changes. You’ll need three types of resources: satellite systems for direct observation, GIS platforms for analysis, and public databases for baseline climate metrics.
Satellite Monitoring: NASA's GRACE and MODIS Systems
Satellite systems capture global-scale climate data with high precision. NASA's GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) tracks changes in Earth’s gravity field caused by shifts in water distribution. Use it to monitor groundwater depletion, polar ice melt, and sea level rise. GRACE data reveals trends like the annual loss of gigatons of ice from Greenland and Antarctica.
NASA's MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) measures surface temperature, vegetation cover, and fire activity. Its daily global coverage makes it ideal for tracking deforestation, crop health, and wildfire patterns. MODIS data products include:
MOD11
for land surface temperatureMOD13
for vegetation indices like NDVIMOD14
for thermal anomalies (fires)
Both systems require processing raw data into usable formats. Tools like Google Earth Engine simplify access to pre-processed datasets.
Open-Source GIS Platforms: QClimate and Copernicus Data
GIS platforms let you visualize and analyze spatial climate data without proprietary software costs. QClimate integrates climate projections from global models like CMIP6. Use it to:
- Compare temperature and precipitation scenarios for 2100
- Generate regional risk maps for heatwaves or flooding
- Extract time-series data for specific coordinates
Copernicus Climate Data Store offers petabytes of satellite and in-situ data from the European Union’s Earth observation program. Key datasets include:
ERA5
hourly atmospheric reanalysis from 1950 to presentC3S_Global_Sea_Ice
for daily Arctic and Antarctic ice extentS5P-PAL
for methane and carbon dioxide concentration maps
Both platforms support scripting in Python or R for automated analysis.
Public Climate Databases: NOAA's Global Temp Archive
Long-term climate trends require standardized, quality-controlled datasets. NOAA's Global Temp Archive combines land and ocean temperature records from 1880 to present. It uses data from:
- Over 25,000 weather stations
- Ships and buoys for sea surface temperatures
- Antarctic research stations
The archive calculates global averages using the GHCN (Global Historical Climatology Network)
daily dataset and ERSST (Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature)
version 5. Key outputs include:
- Annual global temperature anomalies relative to the 20th-century average
- Monthly maps highlighting regional warming hotspots
- CSV files formatted for direct use in statistical software
Data from this archive underpins major climate assessments like the IPCC reports.
To start using these tools, prioritize learning Python or R for data manipulation. Combine satellite data with GIS platforms to create custom climate models, and validate results against established databases like NOAA’s. Focus on specific variables—ice mass, surface temperature, or CO2 levels—to build targeted analyses for research or policy applications.
Conducting Local Climate Impact Assessments
This section outlines a systematic method for analyzing regional climate impacts. You’ll learn how to gather foundational data, assess infrastructure risks, and develop actionable adaptation strategies. Each step builds on the previous to create a clear framework for decision-making.
Step 1: Historical Climate Data Collection
Start by compiling long-term climate records for your region. Focus on parameters directly tied to projected climate shifts, such as:
- Annual and seasonal temperature averages
- Precipitation patterns (including droughts and extreme rainfall)
- Frequency of severe weather events (heatwaves, storms, floods)
- Sea-level rise trends (if applicable)
Use publicly accessible databases from government agencies or academic repositories. Prioritize datasets with at least 30 years of records to establish reliable baselines. Verify data quality by checking for gaps, measurement inconsistencies, or station relocations.
Geospatial tools like GIS software help visualize trends across your region. For example, overlaying historical flood maps with population growth data reveals areas where risk has increased over time. Pair observational data with regional climate model outputs to identify deviations from natural variability.
Step 2: Vulnerability Mapping for Critical Infrastructure
Identify infrastructure systems most exposed to climate hazards. Critical categories include:
- Transportation networks (roads, bridges, railways)
- Energy grids (power plants, transmission lines)
- Water supply and treatment facilities
- Healthcare and emergency response centers
Assess vulnerability using three factors:
- Exposure: Physical proximity to hazards like flood zones or wildfire-prone areas
- Sensitivity: Likelihood of damage if exposed (e.g., aging power lines failing during heatwaves)
- Adaptive Capacity: Existing resources to prevent or recover from disruptions
Create GIS layers for each factor and combine them into a composite vulnerability score. For instance, a hospital in a coastal area with outdated flood defenses scores high in exposure and sensitivity but low in adaptive capacity. Highlight interdependencies—a flooded road blocking access to a power station amplifies systemic risk.
Prioritize assets requiring immediate action based on two criteria:
- Probability of hazard occurrence within the next 20 years
- Severity of consequences if the asset fails
Step 3: Community Risk Adaptation Planning
Translate vulnerability assessments into actionable strategies. Engage stakeholders—local governments, businesses, residents—to define acceptable risk levels and resource allocation.
Structure planning around four questions:
- Which climate impacts are unavoidable, and how can we reduce their harm?
- Which impacts can be avoided through proactive measures?
- What existing policies or infrastructure worsen climate risks?
- Who bears disproportionate risks due to socioeconomic factors?
Develop adaptation measures such as:
- Retrofitting infrastructure to withstand higher temperatures or heavier rainfall
- Updating zoning laws to restrict development in high-risk areas
- Creating redundancy in critical systems (e.g., backup power sources)
- Implementing early warning systems for extreme weather
Use cost-benefit analyses to compare options. Elevating a flood-prone road might have high upfront costs but prevent repeated repair expenses. Include monitoring protocols to track effectiveness—for example, measuring stormwater runoff reduction after installing permeable pavements.
Update plans every 3–5 years to incorporate new data, technological advances, or changes in community priorities. Pair long-term goals with short-term pilot projects to maintain momentum and demonstrate tangible progress.
This structured approach transforms raw climate data into targeted actions. By linking historical trends to future risks, you create a decision-making framework that balances scientific rigor with community needs.
Key Takeaways
Here’s what matters most in climate science right now:
- Human activities raised atmospheric CO₂ by 50% since 1750, directly linking industrial-era choices to today’s climate disruptions
- Observed warming since 1900 occurs 10x faster than pre-industrial shifts—natural cycles can’t explain this pace
- High-confidence models predict 2-5x more extreme heatwaves, floods, and droughts by 2100 depending on emission cuts
- Open-source geospatial tools (like GIS climate layers) now let you map localized risks (coastal flooding, crop losses) at neighborhood scales
Next steps: Compare pre-1750 vs. current CO₂ datasets in your region, then overlay projected extreme weather maps to identify urgent adaptation priorities.